日元:兑美元接近162时存在干预风险 – 加拿大丰业银行
加拿大丰业银行策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-特罗雷(Eric Theoret)报告称,美元/日元在东京消费者物价指数(CPI)公布前保持稳定,市场普遍预期整体和核心通胀将回升至1%中高位区间。

加拿大丰业银行策略师肖恩·奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克·特罗雷(Eric Theoret)报告称,美元/日元在东京消费者物价指数(CPI)公布前保持稳定,市场普遍预期整体和核心通胀将上升至1%中高位区间。日本央行(BoJ)官员发表的鹰派言论,包括对接近2%的“中性”利率的指引,与当前仍处于低位的政策利率形成对比。他们警告称,现货汇率仍令人不安地接近162水平,160之前几乎没有支撑。

东京CPI临近,日元保持稳定

“日元保持稳定,进入周四北美交易时段对美元持平。隔夜无重要数据发布,近期风险集中在东部时间晚上7:30公布的东京6月CPI数据。”

“市场普遍预期整体和狭义通胀均将上升,从1%低中位区间升至1%中高位区间。”

“日本央行田村官员的鹰派评论,叠加行长植田的周三指引,暗示‘中性’利率水平为2%(而当前政策利率为1.00%)。”

“对于美元/日元,我们仍然感到不安地接近162水平,怀疑日本财务省官员正密切关注现货汇率的最新涨幅。”

“在支撑方面,我们认为160之前几乎没有支撑。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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