日元:随着日本央行转向偏鹰派,兑美元走势横盘 – BBH
布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)的埃利亚斯·哈达德指出,美元/日元在155.00-160.00区间内交易,预计该区间将持续,直到能源冲击消退,尽管对日元(JPY)持建设性立场。

布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)的埃利亚斯·哈达德指出,美元/日元在155.00-160.00区间内交易,预计该区间将持续,直到能源冲击消退,尽管对日元(JPY)持建设性看法。哈达德强调日本央行(BoJ)发出越来越鹰派的信号,增须的言论和此前的异议支持6月加息的可能性,市场对此的定价概率为75%。

日元持建设性态度但受能源冲击限制

“美元/日元维持在超过两个月的155.00-160.00区间中部附近。我们对日元持建设性看法。但在能源冲击消退之前,美元/日元可能继续在该区间内交易。”

“日本央行(BOJ)正转向更鹰派的立场。日本央行董事增须一之表示,‘如果统计数据显示没有明显的经济下行迹象,我认为应尽早提高政策利率。’”

“增须的言论加强了6月加息的理由,尤其是在上次4月会议上另外三位日本央行成员(中川淳子、高田肇和田村直树)投票支持收紧政策之后。掉期市场继续定价6月16日会议日本央行加息25个基点至1.00%的概率约为75%。”

(本文借助人工智能工具生成,并由编辑审核。)

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