Fed's Williams: War shock is about prices, but also unavailable commodities

John Williams, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) of New York, spoke in Midtown Manhattan on Thursday and said the Fed’s current interest-rate setting is well calibrated for an economy facing additional risks from the conflict in the Middle East. He also claimed that the Iran war has presented the economy with new and unpredictable challenges.

Key takeaways:

War shock is about prices, but also unavailable commodities.

Some of market strength due to reduced us exposure to oil shock.

inflation expectations that are well anchored important

Cyber risk is the thing that keeps me up at night

Market pricing balancing strong US outlook versus war uncertainty.

The longer the conflict lasts, the bigger the economic impact will be.

Inflation will be ‘well above" 3% over next few months.

Now is not a good time for the Fed to give firm forward guidance.

We are in the right place for monetary policy.”

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US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD 0.20% 0.31% 0.14% -0.21% 0.04% 0.42% 0.16%
EUR -0.20% 0.10% -0.06% -0.41% -0.18% 0.19% -0.04%
GBP -0.31% -0.10% -0.13% -0.52% -0.27% 0.10% -0.14%
JPY -0.14% 0.06% 0.13% -0.37% -0.10% 0.21% 0.02%
CAD 0.21% 0.41% 0.52% 0.37% 0.26% 0.61% 0.38%
AUD -0.04% 0.18% 0.27% 0.10% -0.26% 0.35% 0.14%
NZD -0.42% -0.19% -0.10% -0.21% -0.61% -0.35% -0.23%
CHF -0.16% 0.04% 0.14% -0.02% -0.38% -0.14% 0.23%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

āļĢāļēāļ„āļēāđāļšāļšāđ€āļĢāļĩāļĒāļĨāđ„āļ—āļĄāđŒ

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āđāļœāļ™āļ āļđāļĄāļī
% āļāļēāļĢāđ€āļ›āļĨāļĩāđˆāļĒāļ™āđāļ›āļĨāļ‡ / āļĢāļēāļ„āļē
XBRUSD
āļāļēāļĢāđ€āļ›āļĨāļĩāđˆāļĒāļ™āđāļ›āļĨāļ‡ 1 āļ§āļąāļ™
-1.62%
98.29
XTIUSD
āļāļēāļĢāđ€āļ›āļĨāļĩāđˆāļĒāļ™āđāļ›āļĨāļ‡ 1 āļ§āļąāļ™
-1.95%
92.43
XAUUSD
āļāļēāļĢāđ€āļ›āļĨāļĩāđˆāļĒāļ™āđāļ›āļĨāļ‡ 1 āļ§āļąāļ™
-0.15%
4398.48

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